Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.190382 0.216796 0.245155 0.277820 0.314359 0.353923 0.399956
2025-12-14 0.153144 0.188022 0.227994 0.277026 0.335371 0.402390 0.485005
2025-12-21 0.127418 0.167025 0.215049 0.277205 0.355120 0.449124 0.570646
2025-12-28 0.109838 0.152642 0.207201 0.281216 0.378283 0.500435 0.664854
2026-01-04 0.097258 0.142487 0.202780 0.288069 0.404459 0.556417 0.768239
2026-01-11 0.085696 0.131885 0.196073 0.290433 0.423955 0.604179 0.863420
2026-01-18 0.077113 0.124191 0.192161 0.295641 0.446943 0.657347 0.968591
2026-01-25 0.070707 0.118771 0.190650 0.303647 0.473854 0.717011 1.085859
2026-02-01 0.063057 0.110416 0.183731 0.302645 0.487006 0.757303 1.177309
2026-02-08 0.056429 0.102833 0.177081 0.301139 0.498778 0.795675 1.267495
2026-02-15 0.050722 0.096055 0.170924 0.299610 0.509971 0.833301 1.358062
2026-02-22 0.047222 0.092630 0.169817 0.305933 0.533661 0.890947 1.481815
2026-03-01 0.042770 0.087146 0.164956 0.305980 0.547809 0.935543 1.589581
2026-03-08 0.038812 0.082093 0.160321 0.305933 0.561662 0.980343 1.700111
2026-03-15 0.035406 0.077666 0.156334 0.306578 0.576554 1.027474 1.816783
2026-03-22 0.032905 0.074706 0.154707 0.311220 0.598517 1.087327 1.957334
2026-03-29 0.031019 0.072760 0.154766 0.318867 0.626157 1.158065 2.119530
2026-04-05 0.028731 0.069686 0.152325 0.321534 0.644837 1.214251 2.259599
2026-04-12 0.026991 0.067576 0.151562 0.327285 0.669423 1.281833 2.422438
2026-04-19 0.025700 0.066305 0.152356 0.336082 0.700159 1.361718 2.610453
2026-04-26 0.023594 0.062906 0.148402 0.334997 0.711861 1.407826 2.740489
2026-05-03 0.021644 0.059622 0.144363 0.333354 0.722240 1.451852 2.868595
2026-05-10 0.019878 0.056554 0.140485 0.331682 0.732333 1.495668 2.998109